Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.291873 1.589896 1.977253 2.534764 3.348238 4.549769 6.589651
2025-03-16 0.879570 1.184744 1.642313 2.432625 3.906190 6.952811 15.634502
2025-03-23 0.713459 1.022347 1.535375 2.557858 4.929185 11.964251 56.238846
2025-03-30 0.598147 0.893013 1.418284 2.581095 5.803469 19.465953 363.540409
2025-04-06 0.509707 0.782326 1.292001 2.509560 6.393089 29.520855 234892.192144
2025-04-13 0.446821 0.701350 1.196526 2.459185 7.043308 46.918465 NaN
2025-04-20 0.418990 0.677544 1.208384 2.692663 9.272602 135.675910 NaN
2025-04-27 0.389464 0.644260 1.189745 2.833728 11.557661 554.957215 NaN
2025-05-04 0.356969 0.599356 1.132906 2.826010 13.104796 3858.147427 NaN
2025-05-11 0.324748 0.550263 1.055307 2.711261 13.718941 316473.323823 NaN
2025-05-18 0.305321 0.524890 1.030364 2.778919 16.400514 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.291739 0.509829 1.028009 2.937746 21.232702 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.273851 0.483726 0.992911 2.952192 24.868338 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.253324 0.449639 0.930468 2.817891 25.601561 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.243567 0.438383 0.928851 2.971218 34.483665 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.231390 0.420201 0.904088 2.999693 41.807917 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.217650 0.397032 0.860927 2.911024 44.926459 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.205897 0.377411 0.825296 2.848763 49.458288 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.202618 0.377260 0.848047 3.138261 86.093166 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.196976 0.370839 0.850325 3.314378 138.959288 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.188566 0.356899 0.826277 3.304720 177.519292 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.178716 0.338664 0.785781 3.161428 180.568837 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.173153 0.330563 0.777433 3.245843 284.970844 NaN NaN